The Impact of AIT (Artificially Inflated Traffic) Fraud on Mobile Authentication
As we discuss in our latest mobile authentication research, AIT is a method utilised by fraudulent actors or by competitor businesses to unlawfully derive revenue from the business messaging traffic they process.
This occurs when a fraudster designs fake accounts using a bot which triggers the use of an OTP SMS to mobile numbers. From this, the fraudster can partner with a rogue party in order to intercept the inflated traffic, meaning it is not terminated to the mobile subscriber, enabling the fraudster to take revenue share from the operator.
This can be damaging to the operator revenue, as the interception removes the ability of the OTP SMS to deliver to the end user, then both the fraudster and rogue party claim a revenue share from the traffic. This process is then repeated in order to further inflate revenue, which mobile authentication operators would otherwise monetise on. This is a particularly common method of fraud in relation to long distance locations, as international destinations with high delivery costs will then yield the most revenue.
The rise in AIT fraud can be particularly damaging for potential operator revenue from MFA and OTP SMS traffic, as it is increasingly difficult to detect whilst still in abundance. A key influencing factor of this fraud is the use of AI to better enable AIT to mimic patterns in human traffic; thus making detection near impossible for operators and enterprises.
Factors influencing the growth in AIT include:
- Increase in A2P SMS Costs: Fraudsters have increased incentive to deploy such attacks with the increase in profit potential from AIT.
- AI Influencing its Undetectable Nature: As AIT is not regulated under existing SMS regulations, it is more able to bypass firewalls as OTPs are not considered as spam.
- Revenue Opportunities for Providers: Involved parties want to remain competitive in the market by generating more traffic through fraudulent means.
It is not only revenue losses that operators and enterprises face in light of this type of fraud, but reputational damage will also occur, as the spamming of such OTP SMS messages which users did not request can deem an organisation as illegitimate or untrustworthy. Being branded with such a reputation will drive potential and existing customers away from the business itself, in turn further impeding its revenue opportunities.
For businesses to attempt to combat this, there are some protective strategies that can be adopted, such as monitoring large volumes of randomised messages and OTP SMS conversion rates, limit the number of SMS requests on the same IP address, and utilise tools to block bots. Businesses should also focus on exploring the vulnerabilities within technologies before deploying them, in order to mitigate against potential fraud from such vulnerabilities.
Latest research, whitepapers & press releases
-
ReportDecember 2025AI Agents for Customer Experience Platforms Market: 2025-2030
Our comprehensive AI Agents for Customer Experience Platforms research suite comprises detailed assessment of a market that is set to disrupt mobile communications. It provides stakeholders with insight into the key opportunities within the AI agents for customer experience platforms market over the next two years.
VIEW -
ReportDecember 2025Fintech & PaymentseCommerce Fraud Prevention Market: 2025-2030
Our eCommerce Fraud Prevention research suite provides a detailed and insightful analysis of this evolving market; enabling stakeholders from financial institutions, law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies and technology vendors to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportNovember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityeSIMs & iSIMs Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s eSIMs and iSIMs research suite offers insightful analysis of a market set to experience significant growth in the next five years. The research suite provides mobile network operators (MNOs), original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and eSIM management and platforms vendors with intelligence on how to capitalise on the market growth, and guidance on how eSIM-only devices and sensors, SGP.42, in-factory provisioning, and iSIMs will change the competitive landscape.
VIEW -
ReportNovember 2025Fintech & PaymentsModern Card Issuing Platforms Market: 2025-2030
Our Modern Card Issuing Platforms Market research suite provides a detailed and insightful analysis of this evolving market; enabling stakeholders from banks, financial institutions, fintech companies, and technology vendors to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportNovember 2025Fintech & PaymentsDigital Wallets Market: 2025-2030
Our digital wallets research suite provides detailed analysis of this rapidly changing market; allowing digital wallet providers to gain an understanding of key payment trends and challenges, potential growth opportunities, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportOctober 2025Fintech & PaymentsDigital Identity Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s Digital Identity research suite provides a comprehensive and insightful analysis of this market; enabling stakeholders, including digital identity platform providers, digital identity verification providers, government agencies, banks, and many others, to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW
-
WhitepaperDecember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityHuman + AI: Drivers of Customer Experience AI Agents in 2026
Our complimentary whitepaper, Human + AI: Drivers of Customer Experience AI Agents in 2026, examines the key drivers of the AI agents for customer experience platforms market in 2025.
VIEW -
WhitepaperDecember 2025Fintech & PaymentsBeyond Chargebacks: The True Cost of Fraud for Digital Commerce
Our complimentary whitepaper, Beyond Chargebacks: The True Cost of Fraud for Digital Commerce, examines the state of the eCommerce fraud prevention market; considering the impact of evolving digital fraud strategies, including key trends such as identity theft, account takeovers, chargebacks, policy abuse and friendly fraud.
VIEW -
WhitepaperNovember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityeSIM-only Devices: The Impact on Operators, Consumers, and IoT
Our complimentary whitepaper, eSIM-only Devices: The Impact on Operators, Consumers, and IoT, explores the challenges and opportunities for the three segments, with a particular focus on eSIM-only smartphones and SGP.42.
VIEW -
WhitepaperNovember 2025Fintech & PaymentsUnlocking the Next Stage of Growth for Modern Card Issuing Platforms
This free whitepaper analyses key trends shaping the modern card issuing space, and the ways in which modern card issuing platforms can capture growth.
VIEW -
WhitepaperNovember 2025Fintech & PaymentsTop 10 Fintech & Payments Trends 2026
Fintech is evolving fast. From stablecoins to agentic AI, our annual guide reveals the shifts redefining payments, digital identity, and the future of money in 2026. Download your copy today.
VIEW -
WhitepaperNovember 2025Fintech & PaymentsDigital Wallets: Empowering Financial Inclusivity
Our complimentary whitepaper, Digital Wallets: Empowering Financial Inclusivity, examines the state of the digital wallets market; considering the impact of digital wallets on different geographies, how they are shaping the modern payments landscape through lower transaction fees and promoting financial inclusivity for underbanked populations, and how they are competing with established payment methods.
VIEW
-
IoT & Emerging Technology
Juniper Research Unveils Top 10 Emerging Tech Trends to Watch in 2026
January 2026 -
Fintech & Payments
Digital Identity App Usage to Hit 6.2 Billion by 2030, Driven by Shift to Decentralised Models
December 2025 -
Telecoms & Connectivity
Travel eSIM Margins Under Pressure as Revenue per Gigabyte Falls 10% Globally in Two Years
December 2025 -
Telecoms & Connectivity
AI Agents to Power 1,000% More Customer Interactions for Enterprises Globally by 2027
December 2025 -
IoT & Emerging Technology
Global D2C Revenue Set for $370 Million Surge, But Satellite Operators Should Not Chase Full MNO Status
December 2025 -
Fintech & Payments
Digital Goods Fraud to Cost eCommerce Merchants $27 Billion Globally by 2030 as AI Tools Accelerate Attacks
December 2025