Report Overview

Juniper Research 5G Satellite Networks Market research suite provides a thorough assessment of the prospects and emerging opportunities in this nascent market. It includes an evaluation of the role that future satellite networks will play in 5G, and future 6G networks, and the monetisation models that operators can implement. It also provides a regional assessment of 60 select countries in the readiness for 5G satellite networks in the Juniper Research Country Readiness Index.

The report, which assesses the market for 3GPP-compliant 5G satellite services, provides 7-year forecasts for the number of connections, operator-billed revenue and data generated by 5G satellite services, across three key 5G satellite networks use cases:
  • Mobile Broadband Connections
  • IoT Connections
  • 5G Mobile Subscriptions
This research suite includes:
  • Strategy & Forecasts (PDF)
  • 7-year Market Sizing & Forecast Spreadsheet (Excel)
  • 12 Months’ Access to harvest Online Data Platform
Key Market Statistics 
Total Operator-billed 5G Satellite Revenue 2024-2030: $17bn
Total 3GPP-compliant 5G Satellite Connections in 2030: 110mn
Average Revenue per 5G Satellite Connection in 2030: $7.98

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Key Features

  • Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations: Juniper Research’s market takeaways and recommendations for operators and SNOs (Satellite Network Operators) covering:
    • Optimum pricing for 5G satellite connectivity
    • Which use cases must be prioritised for network operators
    • How to monetise 5G use cases over satellite networks
    • How to protect private network business models, as satellite services proliferate
  • Future Market Outlook: The research suite thoroughly evaluates the future outlook for services, providing a roadmap for the deployment of 5G satellite services, and how the trials and commercial deployments over 5G networks will shape how satellite services will be deployed. It covers the following:
    • The roadmap for future satellite communications
    • The role of satellites in the future of the telecommunications ecosystem
    • The impact on broadband, IoT and mobile subscriptions
    • Potential monetisation models for operators
    • The importance of partnerships between SNOs and MNOs.
  • 7-year Market Forecasts: A suite of comprehensive data and forecasts highlighting the growth of connections, traffic and revenue, with forecasts also including the adoption rate of 5G satellite networks. Comprehensive market forecasts are provided for the following key regions and countries:
    • North America:
      • Canada, US
    • Latin America:
      • Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay
    • West Europe:
      • Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
    • Central & East Europe:
      • Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Ukraine
    • Far East & China:
      • China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
    • Indian Subcontinent:
      • Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan
    • Rest of Asia Pacific:
      • Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
    • Africa & Middle East
      • Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates
  • Country Readiness Index for 5G Satellite Networks: A comprehensive regional market assessment of the potential for 5G satellite networks and service provision. It takes into consideration the potential for operators to secure a return on investment, and the ease of integrating non-terrestrial networks into existing 5G architectures.

Key Questions Answered

  1. How will satellite technologies provide operators with additional network revenue?
  2. What satellite technologies are disrupting the connectivity space?
  3. Which satellite technologies will provide operators with the fastest ROI?
  4. What will the value of satellite-based 5G connectivity be by 2030?
  5. Which strategies will best position operators to capitalise on the growth satellite-based 5G connectivity?

Companies Referenced

Case Studies: NTT, SES
Mentioned: Apple, DISH Network Corporation, Eutesalat , Gilat Satellite Networks, Hellas Sat, Inmarsat, Intelsat, Matrixx Software, Ofcom, OneWeb, Ooredoo, Sateliot, SES, SpaceX, Starlink, Telia, Vodafone.

Data & Interactive Forecast

Comprehensive 7-year forecasts are provided in the 5G Satellite Networks market research suite enabling readers with a comprehensive understanding of the growth in this emerging market. The data and forecast provides the total number of 5G satellite connections, revenue and generated data across the following vertical markets:
  • Satellite Broadband Connections
    • Total 5G Satellite Connections used for Broadband Connectivity
    • Total Operator-billed Revenue from 5G Satellite Broadband Services
    • Total Data Generated by 5G Satellite Broadband Services
  • Satellite IoT Connections
    • Total 5G Satellite Connections Used for IoT Connectivity
    • Total Operator-billed Revenue from 5G Satellite IoT Services
    • Total Data Generated by 5G Satellite IoT Services
  • 5G Mobile Subscriptions
    • Total 5G Mobile Subscriptions that Access Satellite Services
    • Total Operator-billed Revenue from 5G Subscribers Accessing Satellite Services
    • Total Data Generated by 5G Mobile Subscribers Accessing Satellite Services
Geographical splits: 60 countries
Number of tables: 40 tables
Number of datapoints: Over 24,000 datapoints

harvest: Our online data platform, harvest, contains the very latest market data and is updated throughout the year. This is a fully featured platform enabling clients to better understand key data trends and manipulate charts and tables; overlaying different forecasts within the one chart - using the comparison tool. Empower your business with our market intelligence centre, and receive alerts whenever your data is updated.

Interactive Excels (IFxl): Our IFxl tool enables clients to manipulate both forecast data and charts, within an Excel environment, to test their own assumptions using the interactive scenario tool and compare selected markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase a client’s ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

Forecast Summary

Juniper Research found that operators will generate $17 billion of additional revenue from 3GPP compliant 5G satellite networks between 2024 and 2030.

Operators must sign partnerships with SNOs who possess the capabilities to launch next-generation satellite hardware into space, and, through a partnership, enable operators to launch monetisable satellite-based services. SNOs are companies that are responsible for the launch of satellites into orbit, as well as the operation and management of the resulting networks.

The first commercial launch of a 5G satellite network is expected to occur in 2024, with over 110 million 3GPP-compliant 5G satellite connections in operation by 2030. To capitalise on this growth, the research urged operators to prioritise immediate partnerships with SNOs that can launch GSO (Geostationary Orbit) satellites that follow the rotation of the earth to always be located above the country that the operator serves.

Additionally, operators must leverage their pre-existing billing relationship with mobile subscribers and enterprise users as a platform to grow satellite connectivity revenue over the next seven years. This existing billing relationship will enable operators to rapidly drive the adoption of satellite connectivity by integrating satellite services into existing terrestrial networks.

However, operators will increasingly rely on SNOs for service provision as 6G development accelerates. Operators must not only think of 5G satellite services when choosing an SNO partner, but the forward plan for 6G networks, including coverage and throughput capabilities.



Full Research Suite

  • Market trends, strategies and forecasts report (pdf)
  • Market data & forecasts - All topic data and interactivity (xls)
  • harvest market data platform (12 months’ online access) - find out more

Click here for more information and purchase options

Sep 2023




Research Details

Juniper Research
Sam Barker
Operators & Providers
8 Key Regions - includes North America, Latin America, West Europe, Central & East Europe, Far East & China, Indian Subcontinent, Rest of Asia Pacific and Africa & Middle East
Algeria, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Bangladesh, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Ecuador, Egypt, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Kenya, South Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Nepal, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, UK, Uruguay, USA, Vietnam