The National Payments Vision ~ A New Chapter for UK Payments?
The UK has been one of the leading markets for UK financial services and payments innovation for many years, with the Faster Payments System, which launched in 2008, being one of the first instant payment systems to become popular.
However, despite some key successes, the rate of innovation within UK payments has slowed. A complex domestic regulatory environment, as well as strong innovation in other countries, means the UK has potentially lost its reputation as a leading payments innovator. In this context the Garner Review, formally called the Future of Payments Review, reported in November 2023 that a NPV (National Payments Vision) was required from the Government to chart the UK’s future course within payments.
After a long period of consultation, the UK Treasury finally launched its National Payments Vision on the 14th of November 2024. The question is, however, can the UK once again lead on payments innovation? And what does the National Payments Vision mean for the future of payments, in the UK and beyond?
The National Payments Vision – Key Points
The National Payments Vision sets out several key changes to the way payments and financial services work in the UK, which will have major implications:
- Changes to the Regulatory Framework: The NPV outlines that regulatory congestion is a genuine concern within the UK market, with the Treasury clarifying the remits of relevant regulators. Of particular note is that the Treasury has designated the FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) as the regulator for Open Banking within the UK.
- Development of New Infrastructure: The NPV details that the rate of upgrades, including the delivery of the New Payments Architecture, was not moving quickly enough, and that payment systems operator Pay.UK likely needs to reform in order to deliver in a more effective way. The NPV has set up a new committee, the Payments Vision Delivery Committee, that will see the Payment Systems Regulator and the Bank of England set out an approach to development by Q2 2025.
- The Scaling of A2A (Account-to-Account) Payments: The NPV contains the ambition that A2A payments are developed as a ubiquitous payment method, for both in-store and online transactions, which will require infrastructure upgrades, plus the regulatory changes mentioned above. This represents a major goal, and a fundamental shift in the way that customers pay for all kinds of goods and services.
- Changes to the Way Fraud is Handled: The NPV covers how fraud is a major challenge, and emphasises that intelligence sharing between financial institutions is key to improving fraud prevention. It also shares that the UK Government is calling on technology and telecommunications platforms to prevent fraud occurring on their channels. This includes the prominence of scams on Facebook Marketplace, or the use of SMS for fraud attempts.
- Continued Exploration of the ‘Digital Pound’: The NPV sets out the Government’s commitment to continuing the design phase of the so called Digital Pound, without committing to a deployment of the system in practice. It also acknowledges that the introduction of a UK CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) would require legislation from the UK Parliament, protecting user privacy.
- Digital Identity in the UK: The NPV sets out that the Data (Use and Access) Bill is putting digital identity verification services on a solid regulatory footing within the UK, which will be important in delivering future innovation. This includes the creation of a trust framework for digital identity verification services, the registration of approved services and issuance of a ‘trust mark’ for them, and the ability to mandate standards that these services must follow.
Where Does This Leave the UK?
Taken together, these developments represent a major shift in how payments are handled within the UK. The ambition to scale an A2A system for both in-store and online payments will be a significant shift, requiring massive changes in how consumers and merchants operate, the regulations that are in force, how fraud is handled, how third parties process payments, and other considerations.
Alongside this ambition, the NPV is fundamentally practical. It recognises that regulatory congestion is a major concern within the UK market, and that infrastructure upgrades are desperately needed to enable A2A payments. It also recognises that the UK has been a leader in Open Banking, and seeks to capitalise on that. For these reasons, the NPV is likely to be well received by stakeholders in the UK. In particular, making the FCA responsible for regulating Open Banking is a bold move. This can potentially accelerate Open Banking within the UK, which after a promising start has slowed, with regulatory oversight being distributed between different entities and a lack of viable commercial models. The change can accelerate Open Banking development, if the opportunity is used correctly.
However, there is still a lot of work to be done. The NPV does have practical steps, such as the regulatory shifts, but there needs to be much more activity to deliver on its promises. The NPV mentions the challenge of creating software and hardware that can facilitate A2A payments in-store, but this is no more than a brief mention. This is a major task, that should not be underestimated.
Therefore, the jury is still out on the future of payments within the UK. The NPV sets out a commendable agenda and trajectory, but delivering the work that is needed to achieve this will be a monumental task, requiring the participation of many different stakeholders. The future is bright, but will require consistent delivery and significant effort.
Nick Maynard is Juniper Research's VP of Fintech Market Research, and enjoys helping clients to size new market opportunities, set priorities for future growth, and understand their customers through survey projects. He has been interviewed by major news outlets such as CNBC, Coindesk, and the BBC, and has spoken at key industry events including Money 20/20 Europe.
Latest research, whitepapers & press releases
-
ReportOctober 2025Fintech & Payments
Digital Identity Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s Digital Identity research suite provides a comprehensive and insightful analysis of this market; enabling stakeholders, including digital identity platform providers, digital identity verification providers, government agencies, banks, and many others, to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportOctober 2025Telecoms & Connectivity
Travel eSIM Market: 2025-2030
Our comprehensive Travel eSIMs research suite comprises detailed assessment of a market undergoing rapid growth. It provides insight into how travel eSIM providers can differentiate their services to maximise success in the market over the next two years.
VIEW -
ReportOctober 2025IoT & Emerging Technology
Direct to Satellite Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s Direct to Satellite research suite provides satellite providers, investors, and partners, such as Mobile Network Operators, with an extensive analysis and insights into the direct to satellite market.
VIEW -
ReportSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
Instant Payments Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s Instant Payments research suite provides a wide-ranging and strategic analysis of this market; enabling stakeholders - from banks, infrastructure providers, regulators, and businesses - to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
Anti-money Laundering Systems Market: 2025-2030
Our AML Systems research suite provides a detailed and insightful analysis of this evolving market; enabling stakeholders from financial institutions, law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies and technology vendors to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
A2A Payments Market: 2025-2030
Our A2A Payments research suite provides detailed analysis of this rapidly changing market; enabling A2A payments service providers to gain an understanding of key payment trends and challenges, potential growth opportunities, and the competitive environment.
VIEW
-
WhitepaperOctober 2025Fintech & Payments
How Digital Identity is Going Mainstream
Our complimentary whitepaper, How Digital Identity is Going Mainstream, assesses the trends that are moving digital identity to be increasingly popular, and challenges to digital identity growth.
VIEW -
WhitepaperOctober 2025IoT & Emerging Technology
Beam Me Up: The Direct to Satellite Revolution
Our complimentary whitepaper, Beam Me Up: The Direct to Satellite Revolution, evaluates the future key services that satellite providers must offer in the direct to satellite market.
VIEW -
WhitepaperOctober 2025Telecoms & Connectivity
Why Operators Are Launching Travel eSIMs in 2026
Our complimentary whitepaper, Why Operators Are Launching Travel eSIMs in 2026, examines the outlook of the travel eSIMs market over the next five years.
VIEW -
WhitepaperSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
From Detection to Prevention: The Next Era of Anti-money Laundering
Our complimentary whitepaper, From Detection to Prevention: The Next Era of Anti-money Laundering, examines the state of the AML systems market; considering the impact that a changing regulatory environment and a growing number of use cases is having on the market. Additionally, it includes a forecast summary of the total value of the AML systems market in 2030.
VIEW -
WhitepaperSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
3 Key Trends Driving Instant Payments
Our complimentary whitepaper, 3 Key Trends Driving Instant Payments, assesses how key trends are driving the evolution of the instant payments market, and which challenges these resolve. Additionally, it includes a forecast summary of the global transaction values via instant payment schemes by 2029.
VIEW -
WhitepaperSeptember 2025Fintech & Payments
Ascending-to-Ailing: The Deceleration of A2A Adoption
Our complimentary whitepaper, Ascending-to-Ailing: The Deceleration of A2A Adoption, examines the state of the A2A payments market; considering the impact of this payment method and how it is shaping the modern payments landscape through lower fees and enriched user experience.
VIEW
-
Fintech & Payments
Digital Identity Market to Exceed $80 Billion by 2030 Globally, Accelerated by Regulation & Hybrid Strategies
October 2025 -
Telecoms & Connectivity
Direct-to-Device, 5G Advanced, & AI RAN to Redefine Global Connectivity in 2026
October 2025 -
Travel eSIMs Surge as Roaming Alternative - Up 85% in 2025
October 2025 -
Fintech & Payments
Juniper Research Unveils 2025’s Fintech & Payments Awards Winners
October 2025 -
IoT & Emerging Technology
Satellite Broadband Market to Break $20 Billion by 2030, as Satellite Constellations Disrupt Established Services
October 2025 -
Fintech & Payments
Subscription Economy to Reach $1.2 Trillion by 2030 Globally, Despite Increasing Subscription Fatigue
October 2025