The Evolution of Online Payment Fraud
From market data, it is clear that online payments are convenient and drive eCommerce. However, they have also created a playground for cybercriminals who are intent on circumventing the structures on which online payments rely. Trust, it seems, is breaking down.
The threat landscape continues to evolve and test existing anti-fraud measures. The omnichannel retail environment, fuelled by changing customer expectations, restrictions during the pandemic, along with initiatives that are encouraging the open use of financial data, are creating a perfect storm for fraud. Fresh and upgraded challenges must be tackled in the world of online payments. New types of fraud such as ‘silent fraud’ and cybersecurity vulnerabilities are all contributing to a complex mix of attack vectors.
As in any other industry, disruption has the potential to be a force for good; it opens up opportunities through innovation. However, payments involve a complex web of interactions and APIs, which while creating opportunities for stakeholders, must now be a consideration in fraud terms. The identity network is also a driving force that, used well, can build trust, but also adds into this heady mix opportunities for fraud.
Cybercriminals are always one step ahead. They use a mix of social engineering and technology know-how to circumvent systems. Fraudsters’ ultimate aim is financial, so payment systems are the ideal target. Understanding the threat landscape is crucial to reinforcing protection, whilst keeping innovation clear of exploitation.
Fraudsters are highly innovative and use whatever means available to intercept, manipulate, and misrepresent financial transactions for personal financial gain; meaning that mitigation strategies need to be similarly innovative.
Identity is sitting as a central element in the payment ecosystem for both customer engagement and fraud prevention. As identity has become intrinsically entwined with payments, the focus of the fraudster has been innovating around identity or more precisely, identity data. Methods of fraud reflect new technologies and new processes. Attacks are often multi-part, drawing in the social as well as the technical to execute a fraud event.
How human behaviour plays out in payments is a major consideration for fraud management. The overlap in creating great customer experiences in payments and matching these to a secure experience is perhaps the greatest challenge of the industry. Balancing security measures versus usability has always been a difficult objective across many sectors, but this goal is heightened by the focus of cybercrime on the payment sector.
The pandemic is exacerbating identity theft issues. Anti-fraud techniques must work to minimise friction whilst maximising detection capability. This must be done across multiple channels with no gaps. The multiple parts of a payment model across all the human touchpoints mean that the many moving parts of the system must be oiled by anti-fraud and fluid identity verification. The emergence of identity networks that can handle multiple sources of data and verification services will help move the scales towards a more balanced security-usability model.
Latest research, whitepapers & press releases
-
ReportFebruary 2026Fintech & PaymentsMobile Money in Emerging Markets: 2026-2030
Our Mobile Money in Emerging Markets research report provides detailed evaluation and analysis of the ways in which the mobile financial services space is evolving and developing.
VIEW -
ReportJanuary 2026IoT & Emerging TechnologyPost-quantum Cryptography Market: 2026-2035
Juniper Research’s Post-quantum Cryptography (PQC) research suite provides a comprehensive and insightful analysis of this market; enabling stakeholders, including PQC-enabled platform providers, specialists, cybersecurity consultancies, and many others, to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportJanuary 2026Telecoms & ConnectivityMVNO in a Box Market: 2026-2030
Juniper Research’s MVNO in a Box research suite provides Mobile Virtual Network Enablers, Mobile Virtual Network Aggregators, and other players with detailed analysis and strategic recommendations for monetising demand for MVNO in a Box services.
VIEW -
ReportDecember 2025AI Agents for Customer Experience Platforms Market: 2025-2030
Our comprehensive AI Agents for Customer Experience Platforms research suite comprises detailed assessment of a market that is set to disrupt mobile communications. It provides stakeholders with insight into the key opportunities within the AI agents for customer experience platforms market over the next two years.
VIEW -
ReportDecember 2025Fintech & PaymentseCommerce Fraud Prevention Market: 2025-2030
Our eCommerce Fraud Prevention research suite provides a detailed and insightful analysis of this evolving market; enabling stakeholders from financial institutions, law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies and technology vendors to understand future growth, key trends, and the competitive environment.
VIEW -
ReportNovember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityeSIMs & iSIMs Market: 2025-2030
Juniper Research’s eSIMs and iSIMs research suite offers insightful analysis of a market set to experience significant growth in the next five years. The research suite provides mobile network operators (MNOs), original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and eSIM management and platforms vendors with intelligence on how to capitalise on the market growth, and guidance on how eSIM-only devices and sensors, SGP.42, in-factory provisioning, and iSIMs will change the competitive landscape.
VIEW
-
WhitepaperJanuary 2026IoT & Emerging TechnologyPreparing for Q-Day: Post-quantum Security Shift
Our complimentary whitepaper, Preparing for Q-Day: Post-quantum Security Shift, assesses the factors which are increasing interest in adopting PQC, and challenges to PQC adoption. Additionally, it includes a forecast summary of the global spend on PQC by 2035.
VIEW -
WhitepaperJanuary 2026Telecoms & ConnectivityHow Fintechs and Retail Companies Are Changing Mobile Services
Our complimentary whitepaper, How Fintechs and Retail Companies Are Changing Mobile Services, explores the key enterprises entering the MVNO market and launching mobile services via MVNO in a Box partners. It also provides forecasts for total MVNO revenue from mobile subscribers in 2030.
VIEW -
WhitepaperJanuary 2026IoT & Emerging TechnologyTop 10 Emerging Tech Trends 2026
See which emerging technologies will shape enterprise strategy and investment in 2026; from post-quantum cryptography to neuromorphic computing and next-generation infrastructure.
VIEW -
WhitepaperDecember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityHuman + AI: Drivers of Customer Experience AI Agents in 2026
Our complimentary whitepaper, Human + AI: Drivers of Customer Experience AI Agents in 2026, examines the key drivers of the AI agents for customer experience platforms market in 2025.
VIEW -
WhitepaperDecember 2025Fintech & PaymentsBeyond Chargebacks: The True Cost of Fraud for Digital Commerce
Our complimentary whitepaper, Beyond Chargebacks: The True Cost of Fraud for Digital Commerce, examines the state of the eCommerce fraud prevention market; considering the impact of evolving digital fraud strategies, including key trends such as identity theft, account takeovers, chargebacks, policy abuse and friendly fraud.
VIEW -
WhitepaperNovember 2025Telecoms & ConnectivityeSIM-only Devices: The Impact on Operators, Consumers, and IoT
Our complimentary whitepaper, eSIM-only Devices: The Impact on Operators, Consumers, and IoT, explores the challenges and opportunities for the three segments, with a particular focus on eSIM-only smartphones and SGP.42.
VIEW
-
Fintech & Payments
Civic Identity Apps, Tokenisation, & AI to Revolutionise Fraud & Security Globally in 2026
January 2026 -
Telecoms & Connectivity
eSIM Connections to Reach 1.5bn Globally in 2026, But Platforms Must Adapt to Fuel Growing IoT Demand
January 2026 -
Fintech & Payments
Modern Card Issuing Platforms to Issue 1.6 Billion Payment Cards in 2030, as Banks Shift Focus From UX to Cost Efficiency
January 2026 -
IoT & Emerging Technology
Post-quantum Cryptography Market to Exceed $13 Billion by 2035 as Q-Day Awareness Accelerates
January 2026 -
Fintech & Payments
Digital Wallets: QR Codes to Constitute Half of All Wallet Transactions Globally Over Next Five Years
January 2026 -
Telecoms & Connectivity
MVNO in a Box Platforms to Drive MVNO Market to 438 Million Subscribers Globally by 2030
January 2026