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NFC Mobile Payments
OverviewContactless Payment forms one of the key strategic pillars of Juniper Research's established Online & Mobile Commerce research suite.

Our latest edition and most comprehensive research on contactless payments assesses how the dynamics of the NFC ecosystem have changed over the years, analysing NFC deployments and also the role played by vendors, banks and network operators.

Key Features

  • Extensive analysis and implications of the recent Apple Pay contactless payment service. 
  • Commentary on key player market strategies and how the emergence of HCE (Host Card Emulation) as a substitute for the device-based SE (Secure Element) has made NFC deployments more attractive for banks, while weakening the role of network operators.
  • Interviews with leading players across the value chain including Ingenico, NXP, Oberthur, Proxama, SAP, SimplyTapp, VeriFone and Visa Europe.
  • Expert  prognoses on the viability of prevalent and emerging contactless business models.
  • Benchmark industry forecasts for size and growth of the contactless payments market.

Key Questions

  1. How will the development of HCE-based SE solutions impact on the medium term prospects for HCE? Which NFC stakeholders stand to benefit?
  2. What effect will the deployment of Apple Pay have on the NFC ecosystem and on wider consumer adoption?
  3. What are the key retailer benefits from NFC/contactless payment?
  4. Which strategies should NFC stakeholders deploy to maximise their opportunity from contactless payment?
  5. Which markets will see the strongest growth in mobile contactless transactions over the next 5 years? And why?

Companies Referenced

Interviewed: Gemalto, Ingenico, NXP, Oberthur Technologies, Proxama, SAP, SimplyTapp, VeriFone, Visa Europe.

Profiled: CorFire, Gemalto, Giesecke & Devrient, Ingenico, NXP, Oberthur Technologies, Proxama, VeriFone.

Case Studied: La Caixa.

Mentioned: 2ergo, 4T, 7-Eleven, acardo, AFIMB, AFSCM (Association Française du Sans Contact Mobile), Air New Zealand, Amazon, American Express, Amtrak, Apple, Argos, ARM, AT&T, Banamex Banco Nacional de México), Banco Sabadell, Bankinter, Barclaycard, Barclays, BBVA, BlackBerry, Boots, Bosch, Bouygues Telecom, Calypso Network Association, Capital One, Carta Worldwide, Cathay United, Chase, China Telecom, Chinatrust Commercial, Chunghwa Telecom (CHT), Cielo, Citibank, ClickandBuy International, Coles, Commonwealth Bank, Consult Hyperion, Continental, Costcutter, COUPIES, Crédit Agricole, Cryptomathic, CUA, Cuscal, Delphi, Deutsche Telekom, DG VERLAG, Discover, DNB, Donner & Reuschel, Dortmunder Volksbank, E.Sun Bank, Eagle Eye, easycash, EE (Everything Everywhere), EMVCo, Equinox, Ericsson, Europay, First Data, GlobalPlatform, Google, Groupement des Cartes Bancaires (CB Bank Card Group), GSMA, Handelsbanken, HTC, Huawei, Hypertag, IATA, Intel, ITSO, JAL (Japan Air Lines), JETCO (Joint Electronic Teller Services Limited), Kyivstar, Lenovo, LG, Longships, Lottomatica, M&S (Marks & Spencer), MasterCard, McDonald’s, MegaFon, Metro, Microsoft, Mobi Forum, Morpho, MTS, NatWest, Nine West, NPCA (National Payment Card Association), NSN, NTT DoCoMo, O2, Ogone, Orange, OSPT Alliance, Panasonic, PayPal, PCCW-HKT, Phillips, Posterscope, Pret A Manger, Privatbank, Privendna Banka Zagreb, Rabobank, RBS (Royal Bank of Scotland), Redecard, Roam Data, Rostelecom, Samsung, Sberbank, Scandinavian Airlines, SD Association, Sequent, Signbox, SIMalliance, SK C&C, SK Telecom, Smart Card Alliance, SMSC (Service Mobile Sans Contact), SNCF, SoftBank, Softcard, Solekai Systems, Sony, Sparda-Bank Hamburg, Sprint, Starbucks, Starbucks, STMicroelectronics, Swisscom, Taishin, Target, Telefonica, Telenor, The Co-Operative, The Jones Group, Touchpay, TransferTo, TSM Nordic, UITP (International Association of Public Transport), UniCredit Bank, UpTeq, VdV, Venyon, Vimpelcom, Visa, Vivitech, Vodafone, W H Smith, Westpac, Weve, Wirecard, YouGov.

Data & Interactive Forecast

Juniper Research’s highly granular interactive Excels enable clients to manipulate Juniper’s forecast data and charts to test their own assumptions, perform what-if analysis; and compare select markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase clients’ ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

Forecast suite includes:
  • Country-level forecasts for NFC handset adoption by 36 countries (including China, France, Germany, UK, US and Korea).
  • Forecast splits by Retail Payments, NFC Coupons and NFC Ticketing.
  • What-If Analysis tool allowing user the ability to manipulate Juniper’s data for 36 different metrics.
  • Access to the full set of forecast data of 46 tables featuring more than 2,800 data points.

Research Options

All research reports now come with an enterprise-wide licence

NFC Mobile Payments: Apple Pay, Host Card Emulation & SIM Based Opportunities & Forecasts 2014-2019

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Juniper Research's Contactless Payments research provides the most up to date market update through analysing and evaluating key trends and drivers across the contactless space, while offering an assessment of the primary challenges facing the industry. It provides a unique and efficient understanding of the market providing actionable insights for a number of players across the commerce value chain.

The research suite includes:
  1. Executive Summary - Slide deck summarising key trends, competitive analysis and market forecasts, allied to a series of strategic recommendations for players across the value chain (PPT).
  2. Market Trends & Competitive Landscape - strategic analysis of market dynamics, drivers and trends, together with vendor capability assessment and matrix (PDF).
  3. Market Sizing & Forecasts – regional and sector prospects analysis together with five year forecasts for key metrics, including adoption, usage, payment transaction values and volume (PDF).
  4. Interactive Forecast Excel – highly granular dataset comprising more than 2,800 datapoints, allied to What-If Analysis tool giving user the ability to manipulate Juniper’s data (Interactive XL).
Download a summary of the table of contents and forecasts above, or request a detailed list of every table and chart via

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Research Details

Windsor Holden
Commerce & Money
8 Key Regions - includes North America, Latin America, West Europe, Central & East Europe, Far East & China, Indian Subcontinent, Rest of Asia Pacific and Africa & Middle East
Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Canada, China, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Taiwan, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, UK, USA

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