WiMAX Broadband

Overview

This new WiMAX study includes a 65 page forecast suite that maps out the unfolding opportunity for WiMAX over the next six years.  Data is broken down by broadband subscribers, DSL subscribers and WiMAX subscribers, as well as WiMAX service revenue forecasts and ARPU, split by eight key regions.

This WiMAX report provides a realistic assessment of the potential for WiMAX to provide an alternative to DSL and cable and considers a number of key drivers such as the opportunity to serve underserved & unserved areas in developing and developed countries.

The regional chapter includes an assessment of recent developments and an up to date status report of the WiMAX market and how the networks will be used in the region on an operator level to offer rural and metro alternatives.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

1. Wireless Broadband Market Drivers

1.1 Personal Connectivity:  \"Always On\"
Figure 1.1: Broadband Connectivity Demand Cycle
1.2 Economic Growth
Figure 1.2: OECD Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita
1.3 Emerging Mobile Youth Generation
Figure 1.3: Youth Mobile Requirements Survey Feedback
Figure 1.4: Youth Mobile - Next Generation Phones Survey Feedback
1.4 New Applications and Services
1.4.1 The Emergence of 3G and Mobile Content
Figure 1.5: Evolution of Mobile Applications over Time
Figure 1.6: Voice vs. Data ARPU 2008 Split by Data & Voice for 8 Countries (Japan, France, US, UK, South Korea, Brazil, China, Philippines)
Figure 1.7: UK Text Messaging Growth (m) SMS/MMS Q3 2007 & Q3 2008
Figure 1.8: Global Mobile & Basic 3G Subscribers (m) in 2008 by 8 Key Regions
1.4.2 Growth of Mobile Commerce
Figure 1.9: Bank of America Mobile Banking Screens
Figure 1.10: mPoria Mobile Web Shopping Portal
1.4.3 Mobile Web 2.0 - Future Applications and Services
1.4.4 Growth of the Mobile Web
Figure 1.11 Mobile Internet Users (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2009 & 2011
1.4.5 Video iPod Ignites Portable Video Revolution
1.4.6 Impact on Network Traffic
Figure 1.12: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast
1.5 The Need for Mobility
Figure 1.13: Development of Worldwide Connectivity - Fixed, Mobile, PCs & Internet 1997-2007
Figure 1.14: Microsoft My Phone Screenshot
Figure 1.15: Orb Service on a Classic Mobile Browser Interface

2. WiMAX Drivers & Inhibitors

2.1 WiMAX Specific Drivers
2.1.1 Designed for Data
2.1.2 Lack of Infrastructure in Developing Countries
2.1.3 Attractive for Greenfield Operators
2.1.4 Underserved & Unserved Areas in Developed Countries
2.1.5 Spectrum Availability and Efficiency
2.1.6 High QoS & Data Rate
2.1.7 Fixed, Portable and Mobile Usage
2.2 WiMAX Specific Inhibitors
2.2.1 Not Fully Mobile
2.2.2 Lack of Coverage
2.2.3 New Network Build
2.2.4 What is the WiMAX USP?
Figure 2.1: Razzolink Positioning

3. Broadband & DSL Forecasts

3.1 Subscriber Forecasting Technique
3.1.1 Overall Approach
3.1.2 Methodology and Assumptions
Figure 3.1: % of Cable and DSL Subscribers with Download Speeds of 2Mbit/s or Less by Region 2008 - 2014
3.1.3 Geographical Splits
3.2 Broadband Subscriber Forecasts
3.2.1 Global Broadband Forecasts
Figure 3.2: Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
Table 3.1: Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
3.3 DSL Forecasts
Figure 3.3: DSL Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Table 3.2: DSL Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
3.4 Regional Broadband Commentaries
3.4.1 North America
3.4.2 South America
3.4.3 Western Europe
3.4.4 Eastern Europe
3.4.5 Far East & China
Figure 3.4: Far East & China FTTH Penetration
3.4.6 Indian Sub Continent
3.4.7 Rest of Asia-Pacific
3.4.8 Africa & Middle East

4. Global WiMAX Forecasts

4.1 WiMAX Market Issues
4.1.1 Devices and Roaming
Figure 4.1: Types of WiMAX Access Possible Under the IEEE Standards
Figure 4.2: Alvarion BreezeMAX 802.16e 3.5 GHz
Figure 4.3: Intel Echo Peak Prime Embedded WiMAX/WiFi Module
4.1.2 Regulatory
i. World Radiocommunications Conference Agreement
ii. European Commission
iii. Spectrum Auctions
4.1.3 Untapped Potential in Developing Countries
Table 4.1: Basic Statistics Compared for India & the US (Population, Fixed Lines, Broadband, GDP) 2007
4.2 WiMAX ARPU Forecasts
Figure 4.4:  WiMAX ARPU ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
Table 4.2:  WiMAX ARPU ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014
4.3 Global WiMAX Subscriber Forecast
Figure 4.5: WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Table 4.3: WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Table 4.4:  WiMAX Subscriber Base (%) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Figure 4.6:  WiMAX Market Subscriber Growth pa (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Table 4.5:  WiMAX Market Subscriber Growth pa (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Figure 4.7: Global Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by WiMAX and DSL, Cable & Fibre 2008 - 2014
Table 4.6: Global Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX and DSL & Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
4.4 Global WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast
Figure 4.8: WiMAX Service Revenues ($bn) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014
Table 4.7: WiMAX Service Revenues ($bn) Split by 8 Key Regions 2008 - 2014

5. WiMAX Regional Analysis

5.1 North America
5.1.1 Market Status
5.1.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.1: North America - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.1.3 Broadband Subscriber Base
Figure 5.1: North America Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by WiMAX, Cable, DSL, Other Technologies 2008-2014
Table 5.2: North America Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by WiMAX, Cable, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.2: North America WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.3: North America WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.2 South America
5.2.1 Market Status
5.2.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.4: South America - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.2.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.3: South America Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by WiMAX, DSL & Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.5: South America Broadband Subscriber Base (m) Split by WiMAX, DSL & Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
5.2.4  Country Commentaries
i. Brazil
ii. Mexico
iii. Argentina
Figure 5.4: South America WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.6: South America WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth pa & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.3 Western Europe
5.3.1 Market Status
5.3.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.7: Western Europe - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.3.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.5: Western Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.8: Western Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.6: Western Europe WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.9: Western Europe WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s Subs) 2008 - 2014
5.3.4 Country Commentaries
i. France
Figure 5.7: Operational WiMAX Sites in France June 2008
ii. Germany
iii. Italy
iv. Netherlands
v. Norway
vi. Spain
vii. UK
5.4 Eastern Europe
5.4.1Market Status
5.4.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.10: Eastern Europe - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.4.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.8: Eastern Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.11: Eastern Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.9: Eastern Europe WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.12: Eastern Europe WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.4.4 Country Commentaries
i. Poland
ii. Russia
5.5  Far East & China
5.5.1 Market Status
5.5.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.13: Far East & China - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.5.3 WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 5.10: Far East & China Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.14: Far East & China Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX and DSL & Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.15: Far East & China WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.11: Far East & China WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.5.4 Country Commentaries
i. China
ii. Hong Kong
iii. Japan
iv. South Korea
Figure 5.12: KT WiBro Subscribers (000s) November 2007 - December 2008
Figure 5.13: KTF Network Evolution
5.6 Indian Sub Continent
5.6.1 Market Status
5.6.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.16: Indian Sub Continent - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.6.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.14: Indian Sub Continent Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.17: Indian Sub Continent Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.15: Indian Sub Continent WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.18: Indian Sub Continent WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.6.4 Country Commentaries
i. India
ii. Pakistan
5.7 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.7.1 Market Status
5.7.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.19: Rest of Asia-Pacific - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.7.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.16: Rest of Asia-Pacific Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.20: Rest of Asia-Pacific Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.17: Rest of Asia-Pacific WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Table 5.21: Rest of Asia-Pacific WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.7.4 Country Commentaries
i. Australia
ii. Thailand
iii. Singapore
iv. Indonesia
5.8 Africa & Middle East
5.8.1 Market Status
5.8.2 Network Analysis
Table 5.22: Africa & Middle East - WIMAX Use Case Analysis by Operator Split by DSL Rural, DSL Metro Alternative and Mobile
5.8.3 WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
Figure 5.18: Africa & Middle East Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.23: Africa & Middle East Broadband Subscriber Base (000s) Split by WiMAX, DSL, Other Technologies 2008 - 2014
Table 5.24: Africa & Middle East WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
Figure 5.19: Africa & Middle East WiMAX Market, Subscriber Growth per annum & Subscriber Base (000s) 2008 - 2014
5.8.4 Country Commentaries
i. Saudi Arabia
ii. South Africa
iii. Israel
iv. Jordan

6. Broadband Technologies

6.1 WiMAX
6.1.1 OFDM
Figure 6.1: OFDM Spectrum
6.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16d-2004)
6.3 Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005)
Figure 6.2: Difference between OFDM and OFDMA
Table 6.1: Scalable OFDM: Sub Carrier Permutations
6.4 Mobile WiMAX (802.16m)
Figure 6.3: Mobile WiMAX Timeline
6.5 Flash OFDM
Figure 6.4: Network Layer Architecture for Flash OFDM
6.6 UMTS-TDD
6.7 HSPA (High Speed Packet Access)
6.7.1 3GPP Release 5
6.7.2 3GPP Release 6
6.7.3 3GPP Release 7
Figure 6.5: HSDPA Performance Improvements
6.7.4 3GPP Release 8 HSPA Evolved (HSPA+)
6.7.5 HSPA Devices
6.8 3G LTE (Long Term Evolution)
6.8.1 3GPP Release 8: LTE & SAE
Figure 6.6: LTE Overview
Figure 6.7: LTE and SAE System Architecture
Figure 6.8: Comparison of LTE and UMTS System Architecture
6.8.2 LTE Advanced
6.9 CDMA 1X EVDO & UMB
6.10 Duplexing Techniques
6.10.1 FDD (Frequency Division Duplexing)
Figure 6.9: Frequency Division Duplexing
6.10.2 TDD (Time Division Duplexing)
Figure 6.10: Time Division Duplexing
6.11 Technology Comparison
Table 6.2: Key Mobile Broadband Technology Parameter Comparisons
6.12 Competing Broadband Access Technologies
6.12.1 ADSL
i. Comparison of ADSL with WiMAX
6.12.2 WiFi and Mesh Networking
Table 6.3: List of WiFi Standards
Figure 6.11: WiFi Mesh Network
i. QoS (Quality of Service) in WiFi
ii. Differences between WiMAX 802.16e and WiFi
iii. WiFi Mesh and Mobile WiMAX
6.12.3 Satellite

Companies Referenced

Altitude, Alvarion, APTG, Asiaspace Dotcom, AT&T, Axtel, Azulstar, Bayanet, Brasil Telecom, BSNL, Chunghwa Telecom, Clear, Comstar, Craig Wireless, Danske Telecom, Dialog, Digicel, DigitalBridge Communications, Embratel (Telmex), Enforta, Entel,Far EasTone Telecom,  FREEDOM4, Globe, Golden Telecom, Green Packet PI, GT & T, Hotspots, Iberbanda, IDT Spectrum, ipNX, ITRI, KT, Leberty Technologies, Le-Ru Telecom, Linkem, LTT, Max Telecom, Mobilink, NeckarCom Telekomm, Neovia, NGI (ISP), Nokia, Nth Air, Nuevatel, One ring Networks, ONEMAX, Qmax, Quad-Cities Online,Razzolink, REDtone, Scarlet, SHD, SK Telecoms, Synterra, Tatung InfoComm, TDS Metrocom, Telenor, Telmex, Towerstream, TransTelecom, Ultrant2go, UQ Communications, Urban WiMAX, Virgin Connect, Vodacom, VSE NET, VTR, Warid Telecom, Wateen, Wi tribe, Wind Telecom, Worldmax, Xanadoo, Y-Max,