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Smart Home Ecosystems & the Internet of Things

Smart Home Ecosystems & the Internet of Things

Strategies & Forecasts 2014-2018

Publisher: Juniper Research
Date Published: 12/02/2014
Category: Networks & Technologies
No of Pages: 147
Coverage: Global ~ 8 key regions
 

Overview

•    Comprehensive ecosystem analysis
•    Smart Home IoT enablement
•    Industry benchmark forecasts

This second edition of Juniper’s market-leading report on Smart Home Ecosystems provides definitive insight into the Smart Home market, together with a comprehensive suite of five year projections which assess the anticipated Smart Home market opportunity to 2018. This edition includes an extensive analysis of the Smart Home landscape along with an in-depth focus on the opportunities, drivers and constraints faced by the different stakeholders within the ecosystem. The report’s associated IFxl (Interactive Forecast Excel) contains all regional and sector forecasts from this report, plus country level forecasts for the US, Canada, UK, Germany, Japan and South Korea.

What This Report Covers

The Internet of Things

This report explores the growing notion that devices in the home not traditionally communicating with the Internet can be connected and brought into the IoT (‘Internet of Things’). Readers will find in-depth analysis of the drivers and challenges faced by players across the Smart Home value chain, alongside strategic recommendations for kick-starting Smart Home IoT and maximising revenue potentials.

20 Stakeholder Case Studies


Detailing the work of stakeholders across the value chain, including:
•    Standards’ and organisations’ work
•    Connectivity providers
•    CE players
•    Content & app providers
•    Chipset manufacturers
These case-studies are supplemented by 7 exclusive interviews with key enablers, Amdocs, Awox, Home Gateway Initiative, HomeGrid Forum, Marvell, TiVo and UPnP Forum, bringing seamless integration of technology into the Smart Home.

New & Updated Forecast Suite

With five exclusive chapters of forecasts in the report, this updated study provides an extensive breakdown for the following data points:
•    Smart Home Entertainment: Connected CE devices and revenue ($m)
•    Smart Home Monitoring & Control: Smart Meters (m), Monitoring & Control Systems(m) and Revenue ($m)
•    Smart Home Health: Remotely monitored individuals (m) and Revenue ($m)
•    Smart Home Computing Devices (m), Gateways (m) and Smart Appliances (m)

The forecast suite also includes a chapter analysing the evolution and importance of the Smart Home gateway and provides projected numbers across the forecast period.

Smart Home Ecosystems IFxl

This Interactive Forecast Excel, with 64 tables, and over 5,300 data points provides additional granularity for Smart Home devices and revenue across all 8 key regions included in the report; an additional six key country forecasts (Canada, Germany, Japan, South Korea, UK and US) provide further insight across the Smart Home Entertainment, Appliance and Health segments.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
1. The Smart Home

1.1 Concept
1.1.1 Defining the Smart Home
1.2 Evolution of the Smart Home
Figure 1.1: Smart Home Elements
1.2.1 The Internet of Things
i. Concept
ii. Implementation
Figure 1.2: IoT Implementation Architecture
Figure 1.3: Smart Home IoT Data Flow
iii. Caveats
iv. The Road-Runner Problem – Collaboration is the Solution
iv. Maximising the Internet of Things
1.2.2 Connectivity through IPv6?
1.2.3 Security Concerns
1.3 Segment Overview
Figure 1.4 Smart Home Market Segments
1.4 Market Drivers
Figure 1.5: Active Fixed vs Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in Developed and Developing Regions (m) 2008-2013
Table 1.1: Active Fixed vs Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in Developed and Developing Regions (m) 2008-2013
Figure 1.6: Data Demand Cycle
Figure 1.7: Global Smartphone and Tablet Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
1.5 Market Hurdles
Figure 1.8: LTE Market Proposition

2. The Smart Home Landscape

2.1 Introduction
2.2 Standards & Organisations
2.2.1 AllSeen Alliance
2.2.2 Broadband Forum
Figure 2.1: BBF Mobile Backhaul Standardisation Efforts
2.2.3 DLNA
Figure 2.2: DLNA Technical Overview
2.2.4 Home Gateway Initiative
2.2.5 HomeGrid Forum
2.2.6 HomePlug Alliance
2.2.7 UPnP Forum
2.3 Smart Home Value Chain
Figure 2.3: Smart Home Stakeholders
2.3.1 Network Connectivity Providers
i. The Network
ii. Modernising the Network - Case Study: T-Mobile Transitions to IPv6
iii. Connection to the Smart Home
iv. Dumb Pipe to Smart Pipe – Case Study: Verizon
v. The Dumb Pipe Paradox – Case Study: Hong Kong Broadband Network
vi. Big Data Opportunities - Case Study: LIRNEasia
2.3.2 Device Vendors
i. Hybrid Devices - Case Study: Awox
Figure 2.4: Awox StriimLight hybrid light bulb/speaker
ii. The All-In-One - Case Study: Microsoft
Figure 2.5: Microsoft Xbox One console
iii. Breaking Down the Walled Garden - Case Study: Revolv
Figure 2.6: Revolv Hub System
iv. The Low Cost Avenue into IoT – Case Study: Belkin WeMo
Figure 2.7: Belkin WeMo Switch
v. CE Giant Steps into The Fray – Case Study: Samsung
Figure 2.8: Samsung Smart Home
2.3.3 Content and App providers
i. The CDN
Figure 2.9 CDN value chain
ii. Peering
Figure 2.10 Basic Internet transit structure
iii. Building Success through Big Data v1 – Case study: Netflix
iv. Building Success through Big Data v2 – Case study: Shazam
2.3.4 Chipset, SIMs and Endpoint Modules
i. Case Study: Marvell Semiconductor
2.4 Smart Home Segment Analysis
Figure 2.10 & Table 2.1: Number of Smart Home Devices & Systems (m) Split by Segments 2013-2018
Figure 2.11 & Table 2.2: Smart Home Service Revenue ($m) Split by Segments 2013-2018

3. The Smart Home Network

3.1 Wireless and Wireline technologies
Table 3.1: Network technologies in the Smart Home
i. DSL
ii. Fibre-Optic & Cable Internet
iii. Wi-Fi
Table 3.2: Wi-Fi IEEE 802.11 Standards
iv. ZigBee
iv. Z-Wave
iv. Bluetooth Smart/Low Energy
iv. 2G/3G/LTE

4. Recommendations for Fuelling Smart Home Adoption and IoT

4.1 An Open Ecosystem
4.1.1 The App Store Model
Figure 4.1: Smart Home app store actors concept
i. End Users
ii. Developers
iii. Device Manufacturers
iv. Platform and Analytics providers
4.1.2 Differentiation
4.2 Cloud Computing
Figure 4.2: Smart Home Cloud Computing Infrastructure
4.2.1 Saas – Case Study: Amdocs
Figure 4.3: Amdocs Connected Home solution
4.3 Allaying Security and Privacy Concerns

5. The Smart Home Smart Gateway: Market Analysis & Forecasts

5.1 Bridging the Smart Home
5.1.1 Getting Security Right
5.1.2 Market Forecasts
Figure 5.1 Broadband Residential Gateway Device Installed Base Forecast Methodology
Figure 5.2 & Table 5.1: Global Broadband Residential Gateway Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018

6. Controlling the Smart Home: Market Analysis & Forecasts

6.1 Introduction
Figure 6.1: Apple’s 2007 iPhone
6.2 Market Trends
6.2.1 The App
Figure 6.2: Hive Active Heating System & App
6.2.2 The Disruptive Start-Up
i. Google acquires Nest
Figure 6.3: Nest Learning Thermostat
6.3 Smart Home Computing Forecasts
6.3.1 Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 6.4: Smart Home Computing Forecast Methodology
6.3.2 Smart Home Smartphone Forecast
Figure 6.5 & Table 6.1: Smart Home Smartphone Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013‑2018
6.3.3 Smart Home Tablets Forecast
Figure 6.6 & Table 6.2: Smart Home Tablet Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
6.3.4 Smart Home Wearable Devices Forecast
Figure 6.7 & Table 6.3: Smart Home Wearable Device Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
6.3.5 Smart Home Notebooks Forecast
Figure 6.8 & Table 6.4: Smart Home Netbook Device Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013‑2018
6.3.6 Smart Home Desktop PC Forecast
Figure 6.9 & Table 6.5: Smart Home Desktop PC Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013‑2018
6.3.7 Smart Home Computing Forecast
Figure 6.10 & Table 6.6: Smart Home Computing Devices Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 6.11 & Table 6.7: Smart Home Computing Device Installed Base (m) Split by Device Type 2013-2018

7. Smart Home Entertainment: Market Analysis & Forecasts

7.1 Introduction
7.2 Market Trends
7.2.1 More Please
Figure 7.1: Samsung 4K Curved TV (2014)
7.2.2 The Second Screen: Case Study - TiVo
Figure 7.2: TiVo Roamio DVR
7.3 Smart Home Entertainment Forecasts
7.3.1 Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 7.3: Smart Home Entertainment Forecast Methodology
7.3.2 Connected TV Forecasts
Figure 7.4 & Table 7.1: Global Connected TV Sets via Media Players, STBs, Consoles & Smart TV Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
7.3.3 Connected Media Players, Storage & STB Device Forecast
Figure 7.5 & Table 7.2: Connected Media Players, Storage & STB Devices Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
7.3.4 Other Connected CE Devices Forecast
Figure 7.6: Xbox Live Apps
Figure 7.7 & Table 7.3: Other Connected CE Devices Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
7.3.5 Connected eReader Device Forecast
Figure 7.8 & Table 7.4: Connected eReader Devices Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013‑2018
7.3.6 Total Smart Home Entertainment CE Devices
Figure 7.9 & Table 7.5: Connected CE Devices Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
7.3.7 Smart Home Entertainment Revenue Forecast
Figure 7.10 & Table 7.6: Connected Households with Entertainment Subscriptions (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.11 & Table 7.7: Price per Subscription per Month ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.12 & Table 7.8: Smart Home Entertainment Subscription Revenue ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.13 & Table 7.9: Smart Home Entertainment PPV/DTO Subscribers (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.14 & Table 7.10: Smart Home PPV/DTO ARPU ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.15 & Table 7.11: Smart Home Entertainment PPV/DTO Revenue ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 7.16 & Table 7.12: Total Smart Home Entertainment Service Revenue ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018

8. Smart Home Monitoring & Control: Market Analysis & Forecasts

8. Smart Home Monitoring & Control: Market Analysis & Forecasts
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Market Trends
8.2.1 The Fifth Play
Figure 8.1: Comcast Xfinity Home Automation
8.2.2 Smart Metering
8.3 Market Forecasts
8.3.1 Smart Metering
8.3.3 Smart Metering Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 8.2: Smart Metering Forecasts Methodology
Table 8.1: Penetration Rate of Smart Meters (% of Households) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
Figure 8.3 & Table 8.2: Number of Cellular Connected Smart Meters (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
8.3.4 Smart Meter Service Revenues
Figure 8.4 & Table 8.3: Service Revenues from Smart Metering ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013‑2018
Figure 8.5 & Table 8.4: Smart Metering, Connectivity Enablement Revenues ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
8.3.5 Smart Home Security & Control
8.3.6 Smart Home Security & Control Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 8.6: Smart Home Security & Control Forecast Methodology
8.3.7 Smart Home Security & Control Forecast
Figure 8.7 & Table 8.5: Number of Smart Home Security & Control Systems (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
8.3.8 Smart Home Security & Control Revenue Forecast
Figure 8.8 & Table 8.6: Service Revenues from Smart Home Security & Control Systems ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
8.3.9 Smart Home Connected Appliances
8.3.10 Smart Home Connected Appliances Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 8.9: Smart Home Connected Appliance Forecast Methodology
8.3.11 Smart Home Connected Appliance Forecast
Figure 8.10 & Table 8.7: Smart Home Connected Appliance Installed Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018

9. Smart Home Health: Market Analysis & Forecast

9.1 Introduction
9.2 Market Trends
Figure 9.1: Qualcomm Life mHealth Platform
9.3 Market Forecasts
9.3.1 Smart Home mHealth Methodology & Assumptions
Figure 9.2: mHealth Forecast Methodology
9.3.2 Smart Home mHealth Forecasts
Figure 9.3 & Table 9.1: Number of Monitored Individuals (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018
9.3.3 Service Revenues from Remote Health Monitoring
Figure 9.4 & Table 9.2: Service Revenues from Health Monitoring ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2013-2018

10. Stakeholder Profiles & Matrix

10.1 Introduction
10.2 Stakeholder Positioning
10.2.1 Stakeholder Assessment Methodology
Table 10.1: Stakeholder Capability Assessment Criteria
10.2.2 Limitations and Interpretation
10.2.3 Positioning Matrix Results
Figure 10.1: Global Smart Home Stakeholder Positioning Matrix
10.2.4 Stakeholder Groupings
i. Summary
ii. On Track Vendors
iii. Vendors Exceeding Expectations
iv. Vendors with Further Potential
10.2.5 Conclusion
10.3 Stakeholder Analysis
10.3.1 Verizon Communications Inc
Figure 10.1: Verizon Communications Inc Revenues ($m) Split by Key Segments 2010-2012
10.3.2 Control4
Figure 10.2: Control4 Communications Inc Revenues ($000) 2008-2012
Figure 10.3: Control4 Communications Loss from Operations ($000) 2008-2012
10.3.3 PacketVideo/Twonky
10.3.4 Microsoft Corporation
Figure 10.4: Microsoft Corporation Revenues ($m) 2009-2013
10.3.5 Apple Inc
Figure 10.5: Apple Inc Net Sales ($m) 2009-2013
10.3.6 Shazam
10.3.7 Belkin
10.3.8 Nest Labs
10.3.9 Honeywell
Figure 10.7: Honeywell International Inc Net Sales ($m) 2008-2012

Companies Referenced

Interviewed: Amdocs, Awox, Home Gateway Initiative, HomeGrid Forum, Marvell, TiVo, UPnP Forum.

Profiled: Apple, Belkin, Control4, Honeywell, Microsoft, Nest Labs, PacketVideo, Shazam, Verizon.

Case Studied: AllSeen Alliance, Amdocs, Awox, Belkin, Broadband Forum, Digital Living Network Alliance, Home Gateway Initiative, HomeGrid Forum, HomePlug Alliance, Hong Kong Broadband Network, Learning Initiatives on Reforms for Network Economies Asia, Marvell, Microsoft, Netflix, Revolv, Samsung, Shazam, T-Mobile, UPnP Forum, Verizon.

Mentioned: ADT, aigo, Akuacom, AllSeen Alliance, Amazon, Anywhere Artist, Asia Pacific Network Centre, AT&T, Austin Energy, Barnes & Noble, BBC, BedRocket, BestBuy, Biotronik, BL Healthcare, Black & Decker, BlackBerry, Bluetooth Special Interest Group, BMI, British Gas, British Standard Institute, BRK, BT, CableLabs, CardioNet, Cisco, Comcast, Consert, DeepMind, DirecTV, eBay, eCardio, EMI Group, Enel, Entropic Communication, ESPN, Facebook, FOX, Foxconn, FreemantleMedia, Google, Green Mountain Energy, GSMA, Hisense, HomePNA Alliance, Hulu, IEEE, IFTTT Inc, Infinite Energy, Intel, International Electrotechnical Commission, International Internet Exchange, International Standards Organization, Institute for Electric Efficiency, IOActive, ITV, Kwikset, Last.fm, LG, LifeWatch, Linksys, Linux, LOVEFiLM, Lowe’s, Lutron, Mitsumi, Motorola, National Grid, NBC, New Jersey Natural Gas, Ninja Blocks, Nintendo, Nokia, NRG residential solutions, NTT DoCoMo, o2, Opower, Pace, Panasonic, Paypal, Phillips, Pioneer, Pubnub, Qualcomm, Reliant, Roku, Sandvine, Savant, ShunCloud, Sierra Wireless, Sigma Designs, Silicon Labs, Sky, Skype, SmartThings, Sony, Sorin Group, Southern California Edison, Spotify, Staples, Sub Zero & Wolf, Suddenlink, Syco, Target, Telefonica, Telstra, Texas Instruments, Toon Goggles, TP Vision, Underwriters Laboratories, U-NEXT, Universal Music Group, USTelecom, Vimeo, Virgin, Vodafone, Walmart, Warner Music Group, Western Digital, Wi-Fi Alliance, Xunlei, Yale, Yamaha, Youkou, YouTube, Zenverge, ZigBee Alliance, Z-Wave Alliance.

Extra Info

‡8 Key Regions include: North America; Latin America; Western Europe; Central & Eastern Europe; Far East & China; Indian Subcontinent; Rest of Asia Pacific and Africa & Middle East.

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Key Questions

•    What is IoT, how does it fit into the Smart Home and why is it so important for this market?
•    What does “interoperable” mean for the consumer, and how is the industry working towards this?
•    What are the key drivers and hurdles that the market is facing?
•    What strategies should stakeholders implement to maximise take-up? Where is the real value in Smart Home implementation for the end-user?
•    What key trends are shaping the Smart Home market today?
•    What is the scale of the revenue opportunity in the Smart Home?
•    Which segment will generate the most revenue?

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